Bulls Through Strength!
They are saying ‘Peace through Strength’ and this is conveyed as bulls enter the market through the display of strength in the market.
You know because anytime there has been a dip the bulls are snatching up all offers.
What is interesting is today is the first official non official day in which we are hearing of US active participation in the war.
You know because of the modest decline of today. For context official non official announcements typically mean big declines.
But Its bullish through the strength shown.
World War I
Announcement/Start Date: April 2, 1917
Market Performance: Dow fell 24.39% in 1917, but not all on announcement day
Pearl Harbor / WWII
Announcement/Start Date: December 7, 1941
Market Performance: Market closed; December 8, Dow -3.5%, broader indexes -4%
Korean War
Announcement/Start Date: June 25, 1950
Market Performance: Dow -4.7% on the first trading day
Vietnam War (Major Escalation)
Announcement/Start Date: March 8, 1965
Market Performance: No sharp move, but market volatility increased
Gulf War (Desert Storm)
Announcement/Start Date: January 16, 1991
Market Performance: S&P 500 had lost -18% prior; market volatile, then rallied after air campaign
Iraq War
Announcement/Start Date: March 19, 2003
Market Performance: Market rose 2.3% on invasion as uncertainty lifted
Performance during the war:
Historically, during major wars like World War I and World War II, the U.S. stock market experienced significant gains—up a combined 115% during those two wars. Studies show that after an initial period of uncertainty (often before the war starts), markets tend to rise once war actually breaks out, especially if the conflict was anticipated. For example, large cap U.S. stocks returned 11.4% during wartime since 1926, slightly higher than the long-term average.
LMT 0.00%↑ is holding up well…
Double Liberation - Trades That May Take Off Into May
Two “Liberation Days” are set to define April’s final trading stretch: