prediction is dead - +20pts in mins
South Park just parodied prediction markets — the idea that society has reached peak prediction. Everyone is trying to model, to forecast, to game out the future. The satire makes it clear:
prediction inevitably spirals into unintended consequences.
But authorship isn’t prediction.
Authorship is causality.
Prediction asks: what might happen?
Authorship declares: this is what will happen.
When I author, I’m not playing probabilities. I’m bending time itself — collapsing variance so that only one path remains.
That’s how bottoms form on demand.
That’s how a market drowning in bearish catalysts — negative headlines, retail sentiment, even economic data — still resolves upward.
The global market is the largest predictive proxy in existence, the crown jewel of model-based thinking. To step into that arena and turn it into authored causality is to prove something larger:
That we’ve gone awry with models and forecasts.
That prediction has hit its limits.
That resolution is the higher order.
Resolution says: this is the bottom; from here, we rise.
And when the tape obeys that in seconds — +20 points in six minutes — it isn’t prediction.
It’s proof that authorship is the weapon that renders models obsolete.
