SPEEDRUN: Intraday Diversification
One of the beauties of diversification is how it handles risk. While others use it over months and years (softcore), we can utilize the same powers within minutes (hardcore, hard mode, god mode).
We can diversify over minutes and we have a high win rate over minutes…
SPEED-RUNNING
ACCELERATE
QUANTUM SURFIN’
Show your hands.
It’s better to be 93% right about one minute than to be 50/50 over several years.
The reason no one ever says that is because who has smoothed and de-risked the next minute without even taking advantage of spurious correlations and causality?
To be 93% right about the next minute at scale fundamentally alters and challenges all conventional thought.
If past performance is not indicative of future returns but is accelerated to full realization within one minute, that in itself articulates and extenuates greater significance to past performance and its interlinkages to the future - right now
With two trades slated for today but one that we could not execute, we now focus on the next one:
• The next trade has a 92% win rate, so the primary focus should be on execution and management.
• There is now a 73.6% overall day success probability, suggesting that despite missing the first trade, we still have a good chance of a profitable day.
• The positive expected value (15.84 points) indicates that, over time, this strategy should be profitable if executed consistently.
We observed the following in the last 50 similar days following significant economic data…