The Death of Prediction: Lag, Unintended Consequences, and the Rise of Causality
We’ve hit Peak Prediction — models everywhere, lag everywhere, unintended consequences everywhere.
Authorship isn’t prediction.
It’s causality.
Resolution.
The difference between asking what might happen and declaring this is the bottom — rise.
The fast bar of the morning.
The bottom of the morning.
The tempo of the morning.
prediction is dead - +20pts in mins
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South Park just parodied prediction markets — the idea that society has reached peak prediction. Everyone is trying to model, to forecast, to game out the future. The satire makes it clear: