There will be blood

Iran’s playing Trump’s game: he buys time with threats, both sides could bomb each other silly, but the tell’s clear.

He needs Hormuz open.

He warned he’d hit civilian infrastructure; Iran fired back listing every regional target they could flatten.

To box in Israel, Trump has to de-escalate—no real fix till boots hit the islands.

Bombing broadens the mess regionally and globally.

Both sides are ammo-drained, my oil-price call holds.

Right now, USS Tripoli’s six to eight days out it could reach the strait late this week or early next.

The wildcard?

What Iran’s hiding.

All-or-nothing, smart war-gaming or both?

We don’t know yet.

There will be blood.