When not to run it back.

I called the 93% collapse of the Blue Jays in Game 7. And now, because management is a prisoner of the moment, they’re going to run it back with the same signings.

What people miss is that this isn’t about baseball — it’s about decision-making under pressure, and knowing when to go all-in and when not to.

A 93% collapse predicted by someone literally in the city should have been a civic wake-up call. If I was in the dugout with my warning - I would’ve saved the team, saved the fanbase, and saved years of wasted emotional capital. But collapses like that aren’t accidents — they’re symptoms of deeper structural flaws: timing, psychology, and the inability to distinguish nationalism from truth.

Toronto’s problem isn’t spending nothing — it’s spending just enough to pretend they’re competing, but not enough to beat New York or L.A. It’s not moneyball, it’s limbo. And when this cycle inevitably fails, ownership will say, “We did spend,” and use that as the excuse to contract the budget later.

This is human nature in its purest, most flawed form:

emotion masquerading as logic; sunk costs masquerading as strategy; identity masquerading as truth.

Which is why I don’t look for permission, consensus, or collective belief.

I look only at market validation — because markets don’t lie, and people always do.