Wonderwall: England World Cup Prediction
England’s advancement to the semifinals should be considered a success. It remained one of the strongest low-probability selections to win the tournament, and the prediction has proved to be a clear winner since June 30.
Those who have followed my work for some time will notice that I am rarely wrong—even when dealing with low-probability outcomes, such as the resumption of the Iran war and many other events.
People often ask: How can you know without having all the facts?
The answer is:
Knowledge.
Wisdom.
Discernment.
When you have fully encountered life, faced its temptations, and still made a conscious effort to remain good while consistently creating winning outcomes, your view of the world becomes crystallized.
You begin to recognize patterns, motives, and consequences before they become obvious to everyone else.
The most interesting team to win the world cup
A few years ago, I almost won a limousine from an electronics retailer’s World Cup contest. The challenge was to predict the champion and the final score. I picked the winning country—Spain—but missed the scoreline. Spain was considered an underdog by many heading into that tournament.


