I often emphasize the importance of “out-algorithming” the algorithm—identifying advantageous opportunities without enduring drawdowns, wait times, or downturns. For instance, observing Friday’s close, I hypothesized that Sunday’s opening would trend higher. While the anticipated magnitude was greater than the actual outcome, the long weekend likely influenced this discrepancy.
This approach combine the analysis with trading execution, mirroring the behavior of algorithmic systems. Operating in this realm places you among a select group, ensuring a durable edge.
Many people often misconstrue the relationship between short-term and long-term strategies. They assert, “In the long term, it will go up,” which may hold true. However, have they invested the effort to determine if the same directional principles apply in the short term?
Understanding both perspectives is crucial. While long-term investing focuses on gradual growth over extended periods, short-term trading seeks to capitalize on immediate market movements. Each approach requires distinct strategies and risk management techniques. By analyzing and integrating both, one can develop a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics.
In essence, blending insights with strategic execution, while acknowledging the nuances between short-term and long-term approaches, can enhance one’s ability to navigate the complexities of the market effectively.
Quad Sunday: Gap Up (92% win rate)
It is now 3 consecutive weeks that the S&P futures has opened Sunday with a gap down of over +50 points. With a longer term tariff plan and no imminent geopolitical concerns in the weekend, historical data strongly suggests increased probability for a higher futures open on Sunday that may impact even Monday's open.
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