DISINFORMATION: Events are moving too quickly to say anything useful right now.
I want to be clear: my sole criticism concerns the execution of Operation Epic Fury and the far-reaching consequences that have cascaded from it. At its core, it was a mix of hubris that led to several serious miscalculations. Any rational person can see this is a fair point.
For me, the real significance lies in interpreting the directionality of markets and trends. That is my sole interest as a speculator. Yes, I understand the global implications of the event’s yet I keep my vision clear by trying to identify the truth.
“Events are moving too quickly to say anything useful right now.”
No words could be truer than what was just said. Let me give a clear example.
We were told there was a new Iranian regime that the administration had been dealing with. Were they the one’s represented by the delegates who flew to Pakistan, the ones JD Vance and others spoke to.
Yet when you look closely, the Iranian delegates who were communicating with the press the entire time were the very same ones we were told were spreading disinformation or fake news.
POTUS said there was a more cooperative regime willing to appease the administration.
So the question is: Which regime were they actually arming and preparing for a civil revolt — the “new” one we were told about, or the one we saw in the press the whole time?
The entire idea of relying on any Eastern jurisdiction like Pakistan carries significant inherent risk for peace, in addition to the sheer number of competing agendas at play. And yes, the same can be said for the U.S. delegates sent to the process.
If one reaches the conclusion that there is simply too much going on behind the scenes to draw any clear or reliable conclusions right now, doesn’t that statement feel truer than ever?
Historically, ceasefires collapse in roughly 80% of cases.
When they break down, renewed fighting usually returns within days unless enforcement and root causes are seriously addressed.
This is why the idea that ‘there will be blood’ seems fair.
The only remaining question is will the US go all in.
Because it seems like Iran is willing to go all the way.